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Right after I posted my last blog entry on February 24, 2025, our algorithm hit its first losing week, dropping by 10%. Naturally, this stirred some unease—those unsettled nerves you feel when something you’ve built doesn’t perform as expected. It left me wondering: Is there a flaw in our algorithm?
The following Monday, March 3, 2025, didn’t help ease my doubts. We faced some intra-day drawdowns—those dips that make your stomach tighten. It quickly spiraled into what I’d call a psychological twist. I found myself at a crossroads: Should I keep going, or pull the plug?
Out of caution, I decided to pause the algorithm for the day. Later, the results rolled in, and it turns out I would’ve hit my daily profit target if I’d just let it run. I felt cheated—not by the market, but by my own unwarranted fear.
The week of March 3 wasn’t a total wash, though. We had one losing day, but overall, it balanced out. For our social copiers, it could’ve meant a solid +18% gain.
Unfortunately, my unnecessary pauses during the week led to a -6% drawdown for them instead. That stung, and I take full responsibility.
Over the weekend, I took a step back and dug into the data. I analyzed the toughest market conditions—daily and weekly—and reviewed how our backtests held up. What I found was reassuring: even in rough patches, like that -10% dip the week of February 24, 2025, the algorithm consistently recovered in the weeks that followed. That kind of drawdown? It’s not an anomaly—it’s part of the ride. I should expect it now and then. It is not a problem.
Here’s the thing: when I was just trading my own money, daily ups and downs didn’t faze me.
This resulted in a >100% return within few weeks of February 2024.
I know this algorithm’s strengths inside and out. But once we opened it up for others to copy, a new pressure crept in—keeping everyone happy. I started fixating on the daily copier count, watching it tick up or down, and that fed an unhealthy urge to prove profits every single day. It’s a trap I fell into, and it stopped the algorithm from doing what it’s designed to do: perform over the long haul.
I’m sharing this because trust and transparency are important. We’re not chasing perfection every day; we’re building something that wins over time. As an operator, I’ve learned my lesson, and I’m committed to letting the algorithm run its course, even when my nerves get the better of me.
I do not plan to make the same mistake over again. That said, I want to be upfront with our social copiers: expect heightened volatility ahead—it’s part of the journey.
If this stretches beyond your comfort zone, I completely understand, and it might be best to step away from following. Your peace of mind matters most.
Our equity curve (as of 11 March 2025)
